{
  "updated_at": "2026-03-15",
  "source": "564 verified predictions analysis",
  "hedge_signals": {
    "description": "避險信號 — 他在怕什麼",
    "rules": [
      {
        "pattern": "T_only",
        "label": "純關稅（沒有 Deal/Relief）",
        "avg_return": -1.057,
        "up_rate": 50.0,
        "action": "SHORT 或觀望",
        "priority": "HIGH"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "attack_high",
        "label": "攻擊+批評密集",
        "avg_return": 0.159,
        "vs_normal": 0.244,
        "action": "降低部位",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "threat",
        "label": "威脅+制裁語氣",
        "avg_return": 0.125,
        "vs_normal": 0.231,
        "action": "注意避險",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "russia_mention",
        "label": "提到俄羅斯/烏克蘭",
        "avg_return": 0.148,
        "vs_normal": 0.223,
        "action": "地緣風險升溫",
        "priority": "LOW"
      }
    ]
  },
  "position_signals": {
    "description": "佈局信號 — 他在準備什麼",
    "rules": [
      {
        "pattern": "D+M+R+T",
        "label": "四信號齊發（談判+炫耀+寬減+關稅）",
        "avg_return": 2.792,
        "up_rate": 66.7,
        "action": "LONG — 大 deal 佈局中",
        "priority": "CRITICAL"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "A+D",
        "label": "先攻擊再談判",
        "avg_return": 0.586,
        "up_rate": 65.2,
        "action": "LONG — 典型談判術",
        "priority": "HIGH"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "A+D+T",
        "label": "攻擊+談判+關稅",
        "avg_return": 0.43,
        "up_rate": 65.0,
        "action": "LONG — 施壓中",
        "priority": "HIGH"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "A+T",
        "label": "攻擊+關稅（無談判）",
        "avg_return": 0.574,
        "up_rate": 72.7,
        "action": "LONG — 表面兇但市場不怕",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      }
    ]
  },
  "pump_signals": {
    "description": "拉盤信號 — 他在炫耀什麼",
    "rules": [
      {
        "pattern": "NONE",
        "label": "他閉嘴（什麼都沒講）",
        "avg_return": 0.409,
        "up_rate": 80.0,
        "action": "LONG — 沉默是金",
        "priority": "HIGH"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "M_only",
        "label": "只炫耀股市",
        "avg_return": 0.52,
        "up_rate": 71.4,
        "action": "LONG — 心情好",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "action",
        "label": "有實際行政命令",
        "avg_return": 0.294,
        "action": "LONG — 行動派",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      },
      {
        "pattern": "relief",
        "label": "寬減/豁免",
        "avg_return": 0.3,
        "action": "LONG — 市場鬆口氣",
        "priority": "MEDIUM"
      }
    ]
  },
  "most_dangerous": {
    "pattern": "T_only",
    "description": "純關稅日是最危險的 — 平均 -1.057%，只有 50% 上漲",
    "historical": "2025-04-03 (-4.84%), 2025-04-04 (-5.97%)"
  },
  "most_profitable": {
    "pattern": "D+M+R+T",
    "description": "四信號齊發是最強的 — 平均 +2.792%",
    "historical": "出現 12 天，66.7% 上漲"
  },
  "biggest_surprise": {
    "pattern": "NONE",
    "description": "他閉嘴的時候市場最好 — 80% 上漲！",
    "interpretation": "Trump 不說話 = 沒有壞消息 = 市場自由上漲"
  }
}